FIFA World Cup 2026Live·Updated 0s ago
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Kalshi predicts the World Cup.
Using live Kalshi market data to forecast the tournament from group stage to final. We'll keep it updating live as the tournament plays out.
Movers
01
Live win · draw · win oddsToday's Matches
02
Top seven · chance to win it allThe Favorites
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R32 → Winner · favored team advances each roundPredicted Bracket
Round of 32
04
Ranked by group finishGroup Stage
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Every progression probabilityThe Full Table
HeatmapFavoredToss-upLong shotNo market
Columns
| Country | Winner | RankMove | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01  France | 35% | — | ||||||||
02  Argentina | 18% | — | ||||||||
03  England | 14% | ▲1 | ||||||||
04  Spain | 12% | ▼1 | ||||||||
05  Portugal | 7% | — | ||||||||
06  Norway | 6% | ▲3 | ||||||||
07 USA | 4% | ▼1 | ||||||||
08  Colombia | 3% | ▼1 | ||||||||
09  Morocco | 3% | ▼1 | ||||||||
10  Belgium | 1% | — | ||||||||
11  Switzerland | 1% | — | ||||||||
12  Egypt | <1% | — | ||||||||
13  Iraq | — | — | ||||||||
14  Congo DR | — | — | ||||||||
15  Bosnia & Herz. | — | — | ||||||||
16  Czechia | — | — | ||||||||
17  Panama | — | — | ||||||||
18  Haiti | — | — | ||||||||
19  Curacao | — | — | ||||||||
20  Ivory Coast | — | — | ||||||||
21  Qatar | — | — | ||||||||
22  South Africa | — | — | ||||||||
23  Cape Verde | — | — | ||||||||
24  Algeria | — | — | ||||||||
25  Jordan | — | — | ||||||||
26  Uzbekistan | — | — | ||||||||
27  New Zealand | — | — | ||||||||
28  Tunisia | — | — | ||||||||
29  Saudi Arabia | — | — | ||||||||
30  Iran | — | — | ||||||||
31  Turkey | — | — | ||||||||
32  Scotland | — | — | ||||||||
33  Paraguay | — | — | ||||||||
34  South Korea | — | — | ||||||||
35  Ghana | — | — | ||||||||
36  Australia | — | — | ||||||||
37  Senegal | — | — | ||||||||
38  Sweden | — | — | ||||||||
39 Mexico | — | — | ||||||||
40  Japan | — | — | ||||||||
41  Ecuador | — | — | ||||||||
42 Canada | — | — | ||||||||
43  Austria | — | — | ||||||||
44  Uruguay | — | — | ||||||||
45  Netherlands | — | — | ||||||||
46  Croatia | — | — | ||||||||
47  Germany | — | — | ||||||||
48  Brazil | — | — | ||||||||